09 February, 2012

‘If on the opposition wing the distribution of forces is the same as today, at the 2012 elections billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili’s coalition may be a runner up and coalition government may be completed by several parties. Oppositional parties will be given unimportant ministries and the rest will stay with the ‘National Movement’ and when meeting Saakashvili the US President will tell him that as a democrat he is the leader of the region. If Sarkisian and Aliev are giving posts to

their relatives, they will say about Saakashvili that he gave ministries to the opposition’; one of the scenarios of unfolding events was presented this way by Kakha Kakhishvli - Director of ‘Elections and Political Technologies Study’ Center. We began conversation with the assessment of Obama-Saakashvili meeting.

Q. – After his visit to America, discussion on Saakashvili’s political future became more topical.
K.K. – Current constitution enables Saakashvili to become the Speaker of the Parliament. It’s clear that the ruling party and its present chairman Mikheil Saakashvili aren’t planning to quit. On January 30, the day of meeting of Saakashvili and Obama, ‘Greenberg study’ was published, confirming that Saakashvili is a leader without an alternative and that 65% of polled support him. This political technology is directed at as many people as possible to persuade them that Saakashvili enjoys great support.
At the meeting with Obama Saakashvili said that Georgia was moving to another stage and it would have strong parliamentary management. The President has two options: to resign and head his party during the parliamentary elections or run in 2013 for the position of a majoritarian deputy of some region, enter the Parliament and wait for the party to nominate him a Speaker of the Parliament. Saakashvili is a strong political technologist. He won’t instigate opposition to say that he took Putin’s path. The post of the Chairman of the Parliament is more comfortable for him than that of a Prime Minister.
Q. – But Ivanihvili’s team is planning to take 2/3 of seats in the new Parliament.
K.K – When an opposition force declares that it will take 2/3 of seats and it doesn’t happen so, this may cause more nihilism of voters. If somebody doesn’t find his future in ‘Georgian Dream’ he’ll look for it somewhere else.
Q. – Ivanishvili’s partners presume that all the opposition forces together can’t take more than 20% from Ivanishvili and they don’t exclude making of coalition with other opposition forces that get to the Parliament.
K.K – They can’t manage to make coalition today or agree upon the election money-box; it’s hard to imagine that parliamentary factions will start working in coalition. The parties that already are in coalition with Ivanishvili feel comfortable; he revived their rating and secured them financially but they have to overcome their partisan interests.
I don’t think in 2013 the ‘National Movement’ will concede to anybody even the post of President with so restricted rights. According to this strategy Ivanishvili’s coalition is at most, predestined for the second place. This coalition won’t make up the majority unless it broadens.
It’s quite obvious that political technologists of Georgian and Russian Presidents use the same methods. That’s why, like Saakashvili, we so often see Putin visiting hospitals, driving a car or flying an airplane.
To confirm the fact that Putin isn’t afraid of rivalry, a billionaire Prokhorov emerged. It resembles very much the appearance of Ivanishvili in Georgian politics. I hope his western political technologists aren’t planning a strategy according to which Ivanishvili will be a guaranteed runner-up and will make coalition government with Saakashvili. One fact is also to be considered - today the people who brought Saakashvili to power, are beside Ivanishvili and Ivanishvili chose them himself.

Other Stories
Travel between Ukraine and Georgia for both countries’ citizens to be allowed only by electronic ID cards
The Prime Minister of Georgia Mamuka Bakhtadze has announced that the citizens of Georgia and Ukraine will be able to travel in and out of both countries using only electronic ID cards.
Why does the Georgians love John McCain?
John McCain, Senator, and former Presidential candidate of the USA died on the 25th of August, 2018. He was diagnosed with lioblastoma, an aggressive form of brain cancer last year.
The IBSU Conundrum
Teachers, students and students-to-be all took to the streets when the news broke that the International Black Sea University, one of the most highly regarded universities in the country, wouldn’t be admitting new students into its ranks this year.
Angela Merkel arrives in Georgia
German chancellor Angela Merkel has already arrived in Georgia.
German media about possible reasons for  Merkel’s visit to Georgia
As German Chancellor Angela Merkel visits Tbilisi today, expectations are high and both the Georgian and German media are speculating about the possible results of the visit.
Angela Merkel to visit Georgia on August 23
German Chancellor Angela Merkel will visit Georgia on the 23rd of August. Her plan is to visit the Caucasus states of Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Georgian presidential candidate to Journalists –“Shake your brain!”
“Journalists should shake their brains” – said Georgian presidential candidate, Salome Zurabishvili to journalists.
What does Giorgi Margvelashvili own?
The presidential election will be held on 28th of October, 2018 in Georgia. The President Giorgi Margvelashvili has not yet confirmed his participation in the election.
"Father returned for mother ... then the bomb landed …”
10 years on, this is a different August. But this month is a time of remembrance and of hard memories and hurt.
The World talks about the 2008 war
On the tenth anniversary of the 2008 war between Russia and Georgia, 20% of Georgia continues to be occupied by Russian military forces who also seem intent of further encroachment on Georgian territory.
Georgia hosts high ranking guests for the 10th anniversary of the 2008 war
Ten years have passed since the Russian military intervention in Georgia,in August, 2008.
 10 Years Anniversary of the EU Monitoring Mission in Georgia – “Mission supports stability and security on the ground”
10 years have now passed since the August 2008 war between Georgia and Russia and still we face a huge daily threat. Certain parts of Georgia continue to be occupied even today.
Heroin seized near Georgia-Azerbaijan State Border
Border Police from the Georgian Ministry of Internal Affairs have arrested a 28 year old individual.
After ten years from the 2008 war, borderization continues
It is ten years since the 2008 August war between Russia and Georgia.
Multinational Noble Partner training 2018 has launched
The multinational Noble Partner training 2018 commenced on the 1st of August.
National Democratic Institute publishes the latest survey
Poll results released today by the National Democratic Institute (NDI) and CRRC Georgia show growing dissatisfaction about the state of the country’s economy, environment, and political climate going into the presidential election.
Georgian Prime Minister Mamuka Bakhtadze needs 5 more Regional Governors
At a recent Government press conference Mamuka Bakhtadze, the Prime Minister of Georgia, announced that new Governors for the following regions are required:
German government plans to recognize Georgia among safe countries
The German government will shortly approve a law, which enables the countries such as Georgia, Tunisia, Morocco and Algeria to be recognized as safe countries
Latvian MEP Andrejs Mamikins about Georgia’s prospects for EU membership
Georgia is a country that wants to become member of the EU, but how does it look from Brussels?
Military equipment and techniques created by Georgians
Delta is a Military, Scientific and Technical Provider.
What does Georgia contribute to the NATO alliance?
The idea that Georgia should join the NATO alliance was first suggested back in the 1990s. However nobody believed it would become a reality
Most liked and disliked ministers of Georgia
Mamuka bakhtadze, the Prime Minister of Georgia has announced structural changes in the government as a part of his plan to cut down on governmental spending.
Mamuka Bakhtadze officially submitted as a candidate for PM by the President of Georgia
President of Georgia Giorgi Margvelashvili has submitted Mamuka Bakhtadze as a candidate for Prime Minister.
Russia conducts military exercises in Georgia's occupied Tskhinvali Region
The sub-units of the 4th base of the Ministry of Defense of Russia are conducting military exercises in occupied Tskhinvali (so-called South Ossetia).
Candidate for PM’s position Mamuka Bakhtadze vows Georgia to become united, European country
Former Finance Minister of Georgia Mamuka Bakhtadze has been named as a candidate for the Prime Minister’s post, which became vacant after Giorgi Kvirikashvili's resignation.
Exchange Rates
GEL Exchange Rate
Other Stories
On 26 May, Jean-Claude Juncker, President of the European Commission, joined celebrations in the Georgian capital of Tbilisi
Violation of Georgia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity by Assad regime has been strictly criticized
Exactly one year ago, Georgia was granted visa-free travel with the European Union.
Georgia’s ex-president president Mikheil Saakashvili's supporters managed to free detained Mikheil Saakashvili in the center of Kiev.
The US Ambassador to Georgia Ian Kelly congratulates Georgia on Independence Day.
The regulations on the introduction of visa-free travel for citizens of Georgia have been officially signed in Brussels.
The entire Georgia is involved in Secret Santa game, which means that people are sending gifts to each other secretly
The Minister of Foreign Affairs of Georgia is taking part in NATO Ministerial underway in Brussels, Belgium.
A special squad has been mobilized at the 48th polling station in Marneuli, Kvemo Kartli region.
Two politicians in Georgia have come to blows during a live TV debate ahead of the country’s parliamentary elections, Euronews reports.
GEL Exchange